Dr. Philip Tetlock

Biography

Philip Tetlock is the Leonore Annenberg University Professor at the University of Pennsylvania, specializing in psychology and decision processes. He is best known for his research on how experts predict future events and assess probable outcomes. His studies explore historical counterfactual thinking and the performance of experts under various accountability pressures. Through meticulous analysis, Tetlock investigates how cognitive biases such as belief perseverance and overconfidence can affect decision-making quality, and how organizations can structure accountability systems to foster better judgments. His educational background includes a Bachelor of Arts from the University of British Columbia and a PhD in Psychology from Yale University. He has published extensively on the interplay between social psychology and decision-making processes, contributing significantly to the fields of social and cultural psychology.

Research Interests